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Applicable eventology of safety: inconclusive totals

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  • Vorobyev, Oleg Yu.

Abstract

Totals of the eventological safety system modeling is considered for examples and illustrations, which are intended to demonstrate the main features of the algorithm for calculating the risk of a dangerous event at the company under established the event-related circumstances based on the portfolio of identification indicators of company safety; inter alia the examples and illustrations show the role and functions (in calculating the risk) of the three main event-based figurants in the safety eventological system: the total subject, the total object and the total barrier; and most importantly they reveal the key of eventological approach applicability for the field of safety in the methods for selecting the optimal portfolio of identification indicators of safety providing specified accuracy of estimating risk of the dangerous event for this company by minimal expert costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Vorobyev, Oleg Yu., 2013. "Applicable eventology of safety: inconclusive totals," MPRA Paper 48103, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 Apr 2013.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:48103
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/48103/1/MPRA_paper_48103.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Eventology; applicable eventology; probability theory; event; probability; set of events; algebra of events; mean probable event; value of an event; Gibbsean event-based model; event identification; total subject; total object; total barrier; portfolio of identification indicators; accuracy of estimating risk; minimum cost of expert.;

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General

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