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Investment Forecasting with Multivariate Linear Regression in the Construction Industry of Pakistan

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  • Mehdi, Masood

Abstract

This study is about the investment forecasting in the construction industry of Pakistan. The main task of this study is to identify the key variables, which are responsible for the changes in the investment scenario in this sector. A research done by Sir John Thomson, is taken as the plate form on with I m going to workout my thesis. He research on the investment forecasting with the multivariate linear regression. I used the same mathematical method, which he mentioned in his research. His work is also mentioned in the appendix. The main tool, which is used for the forecasting, is regression and a model is been formed by this technique. Four variables are selected which are GNP, GFCF, Whole Sale rate of building material, Year Effect and the effect of previous year growth. The model, which is generated, is as follows. Y= -669.038 + 0.05324x1 – 0.131x2 – 1.609x3 + 0.521x4 – 29.908x5 The interpretation and further description is mentioned in the thesis. The forecasting of the growth of construction is showing progress in the coming years.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehdi, Masood, 2021. "Investment Forecasting with Multivariate Linear Regression in the Construction Industry of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 116503, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 May 2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:116503
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ahmad, Mashood & Ali, Syed Babar, 2008. "Technical Analysis in the Stock Markets of Pakistan: A Case of Commercial Banks," MPRA Paper 64521, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. M.Usman Aleem & Marria Purwani & Usman Ali & Syed Babar Ali 5 & Naeem Bhojani, 2018. "Power Of Training And Development On Employee Retention In Pharmaceutical Organization," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 14(2), pages 148-157.
    3. Hussain, Zahir & Ali, Syed Babar, 2009. "Implementation of Operational Risk Regime: A Case of Commercial Banks in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 64469, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Syed Babar Ali & Manzoor A.Khalidi, 2020. "Valuation of Equity Securities, Private Firms, and Startups," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 125-140.
    5. Zia Ullah & Mohammed Ali Bait Ali Sulaiman & Syed Babar Ali & Naveed Ahmad & Miklas Scholz & Heesup Han, 2021. "The Effect of Work Safety on Organizational Social Sustainability Improvement in the Healthcare Sector: The Case of a Public Sector Hospital in Pakistan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(12), pages 1-18, June.
    6. Rizvi, Aoun & Ali, Syed Babar, 2011. "Risk Taking Behavior of Investors of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 64342, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. M.Usman Aleem & Marria Purwani & Usman Ali & Syed Babar Ali 5 & Naeem Bhojani, 2018. "Power Of Training And Development On Employee Retention In Pharmaceutical Organization," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 14(2), pages 14-12.
    8. Ahmad, Baseer & Ali, Syed Babar, 2012. "Do Individual Investors in Pakistan Prefer Dividends?," MPRA Paper 64205, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Ali, Syed Babar, 2012. "Corporate Governance and Accounting Practices in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 64713, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Ali, Syed Babar & Adhi, Mohsin, 2022. "Demutualization of Stock Exchanges in Pakistan and its Comparison with International Scenario," MPRA Paper 116488, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Ali Zaidi, Syed Najaf & Ali, Syed Babar, 2006. "Risk and Scope of Debit Check Card in Competitive Market of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 64456, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Syed Babar Ali & Manzoor A.Khalidi, 2020. "Valuation of Equity Securities, Private Firms, and Startups," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 16-19.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investment Forecasting;

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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