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Networks of Dissent: Social Leaders and Protest in an Autocracy

Author

Listed:
  • Johannes Buggle

    (University of Innsbruck)

  • Max Deter

    (Max Deter Berlin School of Economics, University of Potsdam, CEPA)

  • Martin Lange

    (ZEW Mannheim)

Abstract

This paper examines how network ties between local social leaders influenced the diffusion of mass protests in an autocracy. We focus on the Protestant Church and the Peaceful Revolution in East Germany. To quantify the role of leader networks in protest diffusion, we compile biographical records of over 1,600 Protestant pastors, including their employment and education histories. Our findings reveal that network connections led to an increase in protest diffusion by up to 4.9 percentage points in a given week. Moreover, we highlight the importance of network centrality, pastors as information bridges, and the interaction with preexisting grievances and repression.

Suggested Citation

  • Johannes Buggle & Max Deter & Martin Lange, 2025. "Networks of Dissent: Social Leaders and Protest in an Autocracy," CEPA Discussion Papers 87, Center for Economic Policy Analysis.
    • Handle: RePEc:pot:cepadp:87
    DOI: 10.25932/publishup-67872
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    autocracy; religion; protests; networks; leaders;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • N44 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation - - - Europe: 1913-
    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State

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