Transient Products but Persistent Trade Patterns
Purpose – This paper aims to combine the authors' findings of widespread bilateral trade-share persistence with some recent empirical evidence of substantial and rapid volatility in the country source of most products in order to extend the implications of this literature in several ways. Design/methodology/approach – The paper focuses on the behavior of aggregate bilateral trade flows for a large number of countries over the period 1980-2000. Findings – The paper infers that countries are frequently switching to very different products in their export bundles to particular destinations. It also argues that the evidence of rapid product turnover in trade is not inconsistent with traditional factor endowment trade pattern predictions, as has been inferred in the literature. Finally it finds that sunk costs in international trade appear to be external to particular products going to particular destinations but internal to the sum total of bilateral trade. Originality/value – The novelty of this paper resides in documenting the remarkably constant bilateral trade shares of 93 countries over the past two decades and the combination of this result with other known trade pattern characteristics to arrive at important new conclusions.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
|Date of creation:||Mar 2007|
|Date of revision:||Oct 2007|
|Publication status:||Forthcoming in Journal of Economic Studies|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: |
Web page: http://www.econ.pitt.edu/
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pit:wpaper:299. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Alistair Wilson)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.