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Ley de Okun en Lima Metropolitana 1970 – 2021

Author

Listed:
  • Cecilia Garavito

    (Departamento de Economía de la Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.)

Abstract

El objetivo de este artículo es estimar el coeficiente de Okun para Lima en el periodo 1970 –2021. Lo hacemos por medio de la ecuación en brechas con respecto al producto potencial y a la tasa de desempleo natural; y la relación entre cambios en la tasa de desempleo y cambios en el producto no primario. Estimamos también ecuaciones distintas en el auge y en la recesión para ver si los coeficientes son asimétricos en el auge y en la recesión. Sobre la base de los datos de la Encuesta de Niveles de Empleo para Lima Metropolitana y de la Encuesta Nacional de Hogares, estimamos un coeficiente de Okun de -0.0002; asimismo encontramos que existe cierta asimetría en el ciclo, donde el coeficiente es de 0.0002 en la recesión y 0.0001 durante el auge. Las razones de estos coeficientes tan bajos estarían relacionadas al comportamiento de la fuerza laboral, a los cambios en las leyes laborales, y a la débil relación entre el producto y el empleo. JEL Classification-JE: E23, J08.

Suggested Citation

  • Cecilia Garavito, 2023. "Ley de Okun en Lima Metropolitana 1970 – 2021," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2023-519, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    • Handle: RePEc:pcp:pucwps:wp00519
    DOI: 10.18800/2079-8474.0519
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Desempleo; Empleo; Ley de Okun; Mercado de trabajo; Producto bruto interno.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • J08 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics Policies

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