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Empirical Analysis of the Effect of the Infection and Damage of COVID-19 on Land Prices

Author

Listed:
  • Ryuji Kutsuzawa

    (Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism)

  • Nobuo Akai

    (Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University)

  • Toru Takemoto

    (Professor, Nihon University, College of Law)

Abstract

During the outbreak of the coronavirus 2019 disease (COVID-19), social distance and telework is encouraged to prevent the infection and the demand for houses,shops and offices including location and style is changing,as a result,the change will be reflected in land prices. Therefore,this paper will analyze the effects of the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths per capita on land prices through changes in residents'preferences for residential and commercial land by using a fixed effect model with panel data of land prices compiled by the Japanese government and an instrumental variable to cope with the endogeneity of COVID-19 cases and deaths. The results show that 1) the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths per capita have negative impacts on land prices, 2) the infection and damage of COVID-19 affects land prices in commercial areas greater than those in residential areas, 3) COVID-19 has greater influence on land prices at the point where land is highly used and the floor area ratio is higher.

Suggested Citation

  • Ryuji Kutsuzawa & Nobuo Akai & Toru Takemoto, 2021. "Empirical Analysis of the Effect of the Infection and Damage of COVID-19 on Land Prices," OSIPP Discussion Paper 21J009, Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University.
  • Handle: RePEc:osp:wpaper:21j009
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    File URL: http://www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp/archives/DP/2021/DP2021J009.pdf
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    Keywords

    COVID-19,official land price; fixed effect analysis;

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