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The Surprising Link Between Education and Fatal Police Shooting Rates in the U.S., 2013-2016

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  • Bradford, John Hamilton

Abstract

This study analyzes county-level fatal police shooting rates from 2013 to 2016. Lasso regression, elastic net regression, cross-validated stepwise selection, all-subsets regression, partial least squares regression, as well as relative importance analysis are used to assess the best predictive models. The most surprising and robust finding is that standardized test scores for English/Language Arts (ELA) are negatively associated with rates of fatal police shootings across multiple geographical levels of aggregation, net of crime and other socioeconomic controls. The findings suggest that deadly encounters between civilians and police officers are more likely to occur in impoverished regions with high rates of violent crime, more police per capita, and low average verbal ability. In addition, fatal police shootings rates tend to be lower in more segregated areas with larger Black populations and higher in areas with larger Hispanic populations.

Suggested Citation

  • Bradford, John Hamilton, 2017. "The Surprising Link Between Education and Fatal Police Shooting Rates in the U.S., 2013-2016," SocArXiv p93x4, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:p93x4
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/p93x4
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