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Statistika Analisa Data Berkala Produksi kayu dengan Metode Semi Average

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  • Muchdar, Muhammad Ichsan

Abstract

Analisa Data Berkala berguna untuk mengetahui kondisi masa mendatang atau meramalkan (forecasting) kondisi mendatang.analisis trend dapat dilakukan dengan model linier dan model nonlinier, analisa data berkala dengan metode semi average merupakan analisis trend dengan model linier yang mempunyai persamaan garis lurus Y = a + b(x),dengan Y adalah taksiran nilai trend ; a adalah semi average ; b adalah kemiringan garis trend dan x adalah periode waktu deret berkala. Trend merupakan suatu gerakan kecenderungan naik atau turun dalam jangka panjang yang diperoleh dari rata-rata perubahan dari waktu ke waktu dan nilainya cukup rata (smooth), Jika nilai trend mempunyai kecendrungan meningkat berarti trend positif dan jika nilai trend mempunyai kecendrungan menurun berarti trend negatif

Suggested Citation

  • Muchdar, Muhammad Ichsan, 2021. "Statistika Analisa Data Berkala Produksi kayu dengan Metode Semi Average," OSF Preprints s4nc3, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:s4nc3
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/s4nc3
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