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Building capacity in technology horizon scanning: A guide for policymakers

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  • OECD

Abstract

This working paper examines how horizon scanning can help governments anticipate and respond to emerging and converging technologies. Drawing on 129 international exercises (2020–2025), it highlights the diversity of practices, from government units to international initiatives, and explores methodological advances, including AI-enabled analytics. The paper identifies key technologies such as advanced materials, quantum technologies and bioengineering, and their policy implications for security, resilience and sustainability. It also highlights challenges in interpreting early signals and the need for robust standards and international collaboration to ensure horizon scanning effectively informs STI policy and decision-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Oecd, 2026. "Building capacity in technology horizon scanning: A guide for policymakers," OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers 2026/06, OECD Publishing.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:stiaaa:2026/06-en
    DOI: 10.1787/b4f0d383-en
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    JEL classification:

    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D

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