IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/oec/ecoaaa/168-en.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Ageing Populations, Pension Systems and Government Budgets: Simulations for 20 OECD Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Deborah Roseveare
  • Willi Leibfritz
  • Douglas Fore
  • Eckhard Wurzel

Abstract

This paper presents simulations of the impact of age-related public expenditures on overall government budget positions and on national savings for 20 countries. Using demographic projections prepared by the World Bank, models have been constructed for the evolution of public pension expenditures and contributions, on the assumption that present policies continue. Sensitivity analysis and some illustrative scenarios of possible reform options are also presented. Scenarios for the evolution of public health-care expenditures are also presented with sensitivity analysis of the assumptions linking age and health-care costs and the evolution of treatment costs. These scenarios for pensions and health care are set within the wider framework of general government balances to capture the effects of public debt accumulation and debt servicing costs ... Ce document présente des simulations de l’impact des dépenses publiques affectées aux personnes en âge de retraite par rapport à l’ensemble des positions budgétaires et l’épargne nationale de 20 pays. A l’aide des projections démographiques établies par la Banque Mondiale, des modèles ont été construits, sur la base de la continuité des politiques actuelles, pour évaluer l’évolution des cotisations et des dépenses publiques relatives aux systèmes de retraite. Une analyse de sensibilité fondée sur d’éventuelles possibilités de réformes des systèmes de retraite est également présentée dans ce document. Des scénarios sur l’évolution des dépenses publiques de santé ont aussi été examinés ; différentes hypothèses sur les liens entre la structure d’âge et les coûts de santé ont été utilisées afin de tester la sensibilité des résultats. L’intégration de ces scénarios dans les comptes consolidés des administrations publiques permet de saisir les effets de l’accumulation de la dette ...

Suggested Citation

  • Deborah Roseveare & Willi Leibfritz & Douglas Fore & Eckhard Wurzel, 1996. "Ageing Populations, Pension Systems and Government Budgets: Simulations for 20 OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 168, OECD Publishing.
  • Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:168-en
    DOI: 10.1787/463240307711
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1787/463240307711
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1787/463240307711?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:168-en. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/edoecfr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.