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How effective are automatic fiscal stabilisers in the OECD countries?

Author

Listed:
  • Alessandro Maravalle
  • Łukasz Rawdanowicz

Abstract

This paper proposes an approach to assess the extent of automatic fiscal stabilisation of aggregate household disposable income after a specific shock. The approach is based on the national account identity of household disposable income and elements of the OECD methodology to cyclically adjust budget balances. In a stylised scenario assuming a decline in household market income, automatic stabilisers in 23 OECD countries are found to offset on average around 60% of the shock on impact. Direct taxes provide larger stabilisation than social benefits and social security contributions. There are important differences in the effectiveness of automatic stabilisers across the OECD countries. They mainly reflect non-linear interactions among the size of a specific automatic stabiliser, the elasticity of the automatic stabiliser with respect to a relevant economic variable and the specific shock scenario analysed.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandro Maravalle & Łukasz Rawdanowicz, 2020. "How effective are automatic fiscal stabilisers in the OECD countries?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1635, OECD Publishing.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:1635-en
    DOI: 10.1787/f1fb9d6a-en
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    Cited by:

    1. Stoyan Tanchev & Naftaly Mose, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: Evidence from European Union Countries," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 19-36.
    2. Bergant, Katharina & Forbes, Kristin, 2023. "Policy packages and policy space: Lessons from COVID-19☆," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    automatic fiscal stabilisers; cyclical adjustment of government budget balances; fiscal policy; household disposable income;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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