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Injury severity prediction from two-vehicle crash mechanisms with machine learning and ensemble models

Author

Listed:
  • Ji Ang
  • David Levinson

    (TransportLab, School of Civil Engineering, University of Sydney)

Abstract

Machine learning algorithms aim to improve the power of predictors over conventional regression models. This study aims to tap the predictive potential of crash mechanism-related variables using ensemble machine learning models. The results demonstrate selected models can predict severity at a high level of accuracy. The stacking model with a linear blender is preferred for the designed ensemble combination. Most bagging, boosting, and stacking algorithms perform well, indicating ensemble models are capable of improving upon individual models.

Suggested Citation

  • Ji Ang & David Levinson, 2020. "Injury severity prediction from two-vehicle crash mechanisms with machine learning and ensemble models," Working Papers 2022-01, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group.
  • Handle: RePEc:nex:wpaper:injuryseverity
    DOI: 10.1109/OJITS.2020.3033523
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/OJITS.2020.3033523
    File Function: First version, 2020
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Kun & Xu, Haocheng & Liu, Xiao, 2022. "Analysis and visualization of accidents severity based on LightGBM-TPE," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Injury severity; machine learning algorithms; vehicle crashes; ensemble technique; crash mechanisms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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