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Is a Dollar a Dollar? How Transfer Design Shapes Household Spending

Author

Listed:
  • Therese Bonomo
  • Krista J. Ruffini
  • Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach

Abstract

Government transfers vary along two design dimensions that standard models predict should not matter: whether benefits are paid in cash or kind, and whether they arrive as one-time or recurring payments. We test how these design choices affect household spending using sharp changes in four pandemic-era transfers to low-income families with children: one-time food vouchers, monthly food benefits, one-time cash payments, and monthly cash payments. Linking variation in benefit timing and amount to high-frequency household scanner data, we estimate spending responses in a harmonized difference-in-differences and event-study framework. Households spend more out of in-kind benefits than out of cash transfers of similar value, and more out of recurring than one-time transfers in the short run. Our estimates produce the first internally comparable set of short-run food-store MPCs across transfer types, ranging from 0.18 (one-time) and 0.38 (monthly) for in-kind benefits, versus 0.06 (one-time) and 0.20 (monthly) for cash. The patterns are consistent with mental accounting, labeling, and forward-looking responses. More broadly, transfer design—not just generosity and targeting—is an important policy lever for social insurance and short-run demand stabilization.

Suggested Citation

  • Therese Bonomo & Krista J. Ruffini & Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach, 2026. "Is a Dollar a Dollar? How Transfer Design Shapes Household Spending," NBER Working Papers 35698, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35698
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
    • H53 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs

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