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Beliefs About Political News in the Run-up to an Election

Author

Listed:
  • Charles Angelucci
  • Michel Gutmann
  • Andrea Prat

Abstract

This paper develops a model of news discernment to explore the influence of elections on the formation of partisan-driven parallel information universes. Using survey data from news quizzes administered during and outside the 2020 U.S. presidential election, the model shows that partisan congruence’s impact on news discernment is substantially amplified during election periods. Outside an election, when faced with a true and a fake news story and asked to select the most likely true story, an individual is 4% more likely to choose the true story if it favors their party; in the days prior to the election, this increases to 11%.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles Angelucci & Michel Gutmann & Andrea Prat, 2024. "Beliefs About Political News in the Run-up to an Election," NBER Working Papers 32802, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32802
    Note: POL
    as

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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