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Demand Shocks as Technology Shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Yan Bai
  • José-Víctor Ríos-Rull
  • Kjetil Storesletten

Abstract

We provide a macroeconomic theory where demand for goods has a productive role. A search friction prevents perfect matching between producers and potential customers. Larger demand induces more search, which in turn increases GDP and measured TFP. We embed the product-market friction in a standard neoclassical model and estimate it using Bayesian techniques. Business cycles are driven by preference shocks, true technology shocks, and investment-specific shocks. Preference shocks have qualitatively similar effects as true productivity shocks. These shocks account for a large share of the fluctuations in consumption, GDP, and measured TFP and can be identified using shopping time data.

Suggested Citation

  • Yan Bai & José-Víctor Ríos-Rull & Kjetil Storesletten, 2024. "Demand Shocks as Technology Shocks," NBER Working Papers 32169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32169
    Note: EFG PR
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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