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Trade Policy Uncertainty

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  • Kyle Handley
  • Nuno Limão

Abstract

Trade policy uncertainty (TPU) has become an important source of economic uncertainty and research. We review the main sources and measures of TPU. We then provide a conceptual framework for modeling TPU and methods of estimating and quantifying its effects. We analyze its role in trade agreements and discuss open questions for future research.

Suggested Citation

  • Kyle Handley & Nuno Limão, 2022. "Trade Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 29672, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:29672
    Note: ITI
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    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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