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Retail Financial Innovation and Stock Market Dynamics: The Case of Target Date Funds

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan A. Parker
  • Antoinette Schoar
  • Yang Sun

Abstract

Target Date Funds (TDFs) are designed to provide unsophisticated or inattentive investors with age-appropriate exposures to different asset classes like stocks and bonds. The rise of TDFs has moved a significant share of retirement investors into macro-contrarian strategies that sell stocks after relatively good stock market performance. This rebalancing drives contrarian flows across equity mutual funds held by TDFs, stabilizing their funding, and reduces stock returns for stocks disproportionately held by these funds when stock market returns are relatively high. Continued growth in TDFs and similar investment products may dampen stock market volatility and increase the transmission of shocks across asset classes.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan A. Parker & Antoinette Schoar & Yang Sun, 2020. "Retail Financial Innovation and Stock Market Dynamics: The Case of Target Date Funds," NBER Working Papers 28028, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28028
    Note: AP CF EFG ME
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    Cited by:

    1. Mitchell, Olivia S. & Utkus, Stephen P., 2022. "Target-date funds and portfolio choice in 401(k) plans," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 519-536, October.
    2. Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2021. "Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 16613, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. John H Cochrane, 2022. "Portfolios for Long-Term Investors [Rare disasters and asset markets in the twentieth century]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-42.
    4. Aleksandar Andonov & Joshua D Rauh, 2022. "The Return Expectations of Public Pension Funds," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(8), pages 3777-3822.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth

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