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Propagation of Financial Crises: A Heterogenous Agents Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Weihong HUANG

    (Division of Economics, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, 637332.)

  • Zhenxi CHEN

    (Division of Economics, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, 637332.)

Abstract

We propose a two-market heterogeneous agents model with coupling mechanism to study Financial crisis with contagion effect. It manages to calibrate sudden crash behavior of US and UK stock markets during "Black Monday" of 1987 besides smooth crisis and disturbing crisis categorized in literature. It is implied that financial crisis and its contagion could be endogenous and supports scenario of over-valuation causing financial crisis. In addition, the model shows that financial system could be fragile in which small shock(s) hitting individual market's fundamental could cause financial crisis which spreads to other market. It also supports scenario of external shock triggering financial crisis. Lastly, the model manages to match typical stylized facts, especially cross-correlation which is exclusive to multi-market case.

Suggested Citation

  • Weihong HUANG & Zhenxi CHEN, 2013. "Propagation of Financial Crises: A Heterogenous Agents Approach," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 1309, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
  • Handle: RePEc:nan:wpaper:1309
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Evolutionary biology; happiness; interpersonal comparison; measurability; wellbeing; welfare;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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