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Anticipations et Taux de Chomage Non-Inflationniste

Author

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  • Marion, G.

Abstract

Dans Cette Etude, Nous Utilisons une Fonction D'anticipation Dynamique Pour Determiner les Taux de Variations des Salaires Nominaux Entre 1962 et 1982. Ainsi, En Plus de la Variable de Marche, Nous Utilisons une Variable D'ajustement Avec Taux Passes de Salaires Ainsi Qu'une Variable Previsionnelle Fondee Sur les Taux Courants. les Experiences Passees, En Matiere de Salaire, L'emportent Sur les Previsions D'inflation, Comme Effet Sur les Mouvements Salariaux. la Somme des Deux Effets Se Situe a Tres Pres de L'unite, Ce Qui Conduit a une Courbe de Phillips de Long Terme D'allure Verticale. Notons Aussi Que les Parametres Obtenus Pour la Periode Apres 1969 Sont Significativement Differents de Ceux de 1961 a 1969. Enfin, le Taux de Chomage Naturel, Comme Moyenne de L'ensemble de la Periode Se Situe Entre 7 et 8%, Selon le Modele Retenu.

Suggested Citation

  • Marion, G., 1984. "Anticipations et Taux de Chomage Non-Inflationniste," Cahiers de recherche 8421, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    • Handle: RePEc:mtl:montde:8421
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    Keywords

    Chomage ; Inflation ; Salaires;
    All these keywords.

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