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Doing More With Less: Mismatch-Based Risk-Limiting Audits

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Listed:
  • Alexander Ek

  • Michelle Blom
  • Philip B. Stark
  • Peter J. Stuckey
  • Vanessa J. Teague
  • Damjan Vukcevic

Abstract

One approach to risk-limiting audits (RLAs) compares randomly selected cast vote records (CVRs) to votes read by human auditors from the corresponding ballot cards. Historically, such methods reduce audit sample sizes by considering how each sampled CVR differs from the corresponding true vote, not merely whether they differ. Here we investigate the latter approach, auditing by testing whether the total number of mismatches in the full set of CVRs exceeds the minimum number of CVR errors required for the reported outcome to be wrong (the "CVR margin"). This strategy makes it possible to audit more social choice functions and simplifies RLAs conceptually, which makes it easier to explain than some other RLA approaches. The cost is larger sample sizes. "Mismatch-based RLAs" only require a lower bound on the CVR margin, which for some social choice functions is easier to calculate than the effect of particular errors.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Ek & Michelle Blom & Philip B. Stark & Peter J. Stuckey & Vanessa J. Teague & Damjan Vukcevic, 2025. "Doing More With Less: Mismatch-Based Risk-Limiting Audits," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/25, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:msh:ebswps:2025-4
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