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Announcement effect and intraday volatility patterns of euro-dollar exchange rate: monetary policy news arrivals and short-run dynamic response

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Abstract

In this article, we examine the announcement effect of news relating to the monetary policies of the ECB and the FED and resulting from the official meetings of the Council of the governors and the FOMC on intraday volatility of the foreign exchange rate euro-dollar at five minutes of intervals. The results show that the news of the monetary policy of the ECB relative to its Target interest rates are more significant and more influential on the level of intraday volatility than those of the monetary policy of the FED relative to its federal funds rate. In spite of the reduced number of these news, their effect appears statistically significant during the years of the sample of foreign exchange rate euro-dollar selected. We also introduced a polynomial structure which enables us to take into account the short-run response patterns and to highlight a possible dissymmetry in the effect of each variable of signal on the volatility of foreign exchange rate euro-dollar

Suggested Citation

  • Mokhtar Darmoul & Mokhtar Kouki, 2009. "Announcement effect and intraday volatility patterns of euro-dollar exchange rate: monetary policy news arrivals and short-run dynamic response," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 09071, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  • Handle: RePEc:mse:cesdoc:09071
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    File URL: ftp://mse.univ-paris1.fr/pub/mse/CES2009/09071.pdf
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    Keywords

    Announcement effect; forex; news; exchange rate;

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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