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Impact de la crise économique mondiale de 2008-2009 sur l’économie sénégalaise

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  • François Joseph Cabral

Abstract

Dans cette recherche, nous tentons d’évaluer les effets de la crise économique mondiale de 2008-2009 sur l’économie sénégalaise. A l’aide d’un modèle d’équilibre général calculable statique, nous mettons en exergue les principaux canaux par lesquels cette crise a pu se transmettre à l’économie, à savoir : les prix mondiaux, la demande à l’exportation, les transferts des migrants, l’aide publique au développement, les investissements directs étrangers. Les résultats de notre analyse attestent que la baisse de la demande mondiale à l’exportation et celle des transferts des migrants se révèlent être les canaux qui ont le plus facilité la transmission du choc à l’économie sénégalaise. En effet, celles-ci ont le plus contribué à déprimer l’activité économique et, en conséquence, favorisé une détérioration des principaux agrégats macroéconomiques. En outre, elles ont occasionné l’effritement de l’assiette fiscale de l’Etat qui a vu ses ressources intérieures baisser.

Suggested Citation

  • François Joseph Cabral, 2012. "Impact de la crise économique mondiale de 2008-2009 sur l’économie sénégalaise," Working Papers MPIA 2012-11, PEP-MPIA.
    • Handle: RePEc:lvl:mpiacr:2012-11
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John Cockburn & Ismaël Fofana & Luca Tiberti, 2010. "Simulating the Impact of the Global Economic Crisis and Policy. Responses on Children in West and Central Africa," Working Papers MPIA 2010-10, PEP-MPIA.
    2. Ismaël Fofana & John Cockburn & Luca Tiberti & Edgar A. Cooke & Daniel K. Twerefou & Theodore Antwi-Asare, 2010. "Simulating the Impact of the Global Economic Crisis and Policy Responses on Children in Ghana," Papers inwopa601, Innocenti Working Papers.
    3. Sami Bibi & John Cockburn & Christian Arnault Emini & Luca Tiberti & Ismaël Fofana & Paul Ningaye, 2010. "Incidences de la crise economique mondiale de 2008/09 et des options de la politique de reponse sur la pauvreté des enfants au Cameroun," Papers inwopa600, Innocenti Working Papers.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    aide publique au développement; transferts; investissements directs étrangers; impacts macroéconomiques; modèle d’équilibre général calculable. Model; Microsimulation; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F24 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Remittances
    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

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