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Greece: In Search of Investors

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  • Dimitri B. Papadimitriou
  • Michalis Nikiforos
  • Gennaro Zezza

Abstract

2019 marked the third year of the continuing economic recovery in Greece, with real GDP and employment rising, albeit at modest rates. In this Strategic Analysis we note that the expansion has mainly been driven by net exports, with tourism playing a dominant role. However, household consumption and investment are still too far below their precrisis levels, and a stronger and sustainable recovery should target these components of domestic demand as well. Fiscal austerity imposed on the Greek government has achieved its target in terms of public finances, such that some fiscal space is now available to stimulate the economy. Our simulations for the 2019-21 period show that under current conditions the economy is likely to continue on a path of modest growth, and that the amount of private investment needed for a stronger recovery is unlikely to materialize.

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  • Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2020. "Greece: In Search of Investors," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive gsa_1_20, Levy Economics Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:lev:levysa:gsa_1_20
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    1. Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2018. "Can Greece Grow Faster?," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_gr_11_18, Levy Economics Institute.
    2. Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2018. "Can Greece Grow Faster?," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_gr_nov_18, Levy Economics Institute.
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