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Expected Utility under Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Ebbe Hendon

    (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

  • Hans Jørgen Jacobsen

    (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

  • Birgitte Sloth

    (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

  • Torben Tranæs

    (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

Abstract

An uncertain and not just risky situation may be modeled using so-called belief functions assigning lower probabilities to events, that is, to sets of possible outcomes. In this paper we introduce an axiom of consistency by which we extend the von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility theory to belief functions. We use this theory to characterize uncertainty neutrality and two different degrees of uncertainty aversion.

Suggested Citation

  • Ebbe Hendon & Hans Jørgen Jacobsen & Birgitte Sloth & Torben Tranæs, "undated". "Expected Utility under Uncertainty," Discussion Papers 92-09, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:9209
    as

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    uncertainty; belief functions; expected utility theory; consistency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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