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Is Positive Sentiment in Corporate Annual Reports Informative? Evidence from Deep Learning

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  • Mehran Azimi
  • Anup Agrawal

Abstract

We use a novel text classification approach from deep learning to more accurately measure sentiment in a large sample of 10-Ks. In contrast to most prior literature, we find that positive, and negative, sentiment predicts abnormal return and abnormal trading volume around 10-K filing date and future firm fundamentals and policies. Our results suggest that the qualitative information contained in corporate annual reports is richer than previously found. Both positive and negative sentiments are informative when measured accurately, but they do not have symmetric implications, suggesting that a net sentiment measure advocated by prior studies would be less informative.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehran Azimi & Anup Agrawal, 2019. "Is Positive Sentiment in Corporate Annual Reports Informative? Evidence from Deep Learning," 2019 Papers paz108, Job Market Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:jmp:jm2019:paz108
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    JEL classification:

    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General

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