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Who mobilises non-voters? Right-wing populism and unequal turnout

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  • Armin Schäfer

    (Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Germany)

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between the election performance of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) and voter turnout in the German federal elections. It analyses data from a variety of sources, including data from the 299 constituencies, data from 979 neighbourhoods in 30 cities, and two individual-level datasets, including panel data and the post-election cross-section of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES). The paper finds that the AfD was successful in mobilising former non-voters in the 2017 federal election, but there was no further mobilisation in the 2021 election. The conclusion is that populist parties are unlikely to succeed in increasing voter turnout in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Armin Schäfer, 2023. "Who mobilises non-voters? Right-wing populism and unequal turnout," Working Papers 2312, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
    • Handle: RePEc:jgu:wpaper:2312
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    File URL: https://download.uni-mainz.de/RePEc/pdf/Discussion_Paper_2312.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luigi Droste, 2021. "Feeling Left Behind by Political Decisionmakers: Anti-Establishment Sentiment in Contemporary Democracies," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 9(3), pages 288-300.
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