IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc143916.html

Introducing the CRISP model to downscale future population projections

Author

Listed:
  • Jacobs-Crisioni Chris
  • Schiavina Marcello
  • Krasnodebska Katarzyna
  • Dijkstra Lewis

    (European Commission - JRC)

  • Claassens Jip
  • Hilferink Maarten
  • Van Der Wielen Thijmen
  • Koomen Eric

Abstract

The CRISP model has been setup to disaggregate national population projections to 1km2 grid cells globally. This is done primarily to provide projections of population by degree of urbanisation for the 2025 World Urbanisation Prospects report produced by the UN. Many other applications are feasible with CRISP as well. The model estimates population and built-up area change in a three-step process. First, population and built-up area change are estimated for roughly 1000 functional areas taking into account national population projections. Second, new built-up area is allocated to grid cells considering distance to settlements, roads, water, current share of built-up area and other characteristics. Finally, population is added to newly built-up areas and more suitable locations and reduced in less suitable locations to capture internal migration (and natural population decline).

Suggested Citation

  • Jacobs-Crisioni Chris & Schiavina Marcello & Krasnodebska Katarzyna & Dijkstra Lewis & Claassens Jip & Hilferink Maarten & Van Der Wielen Thijmen & Koomen Eric, 2025. "Introducing the CRISP model to downscale future population projections," JRC Research Reports JRC143916, Joint Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc143916
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC143916
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chris Jacobs‐Crisioni & Mert Kompil & Lewis Dijkstra, 2023. "Big in the neighbourhood: Identifying local and regional centres through their network position," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(2), pages 421-457, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guillermo Prieto-Viertel & Carsten Kallner & Elma Dervic & Ola Ali & Andrea Vismara & Rafael Prieto-Curiel, 2026. "Who burdens the welfare state? Migration and ageing in housing, education, and healthcare demand," Papers 2603.26525, arXiv.org.
    2. Berzi Matteo & Herrmann Benedikt & Albertini Mattia & Attardo Carmelo & Auteri Davide & Barranco Ricardo & Brunet-jailly Emmanuel & Chilla Tobias & Dijkstra Lewis & Duvernet Claire & Finnsdottir Maria, 2026. "Living spaces, flows and structures across the EU internal borders," JRC Research Reports JRC145104, Joint Research Centre.
    3. Xavier Uchida, Felipe Augusto & Almeida de Magalhães Cipparrone, Flávio, 2026. "Vector-based Retail Gravitation and store survival: Evidence from São Paulo pharmacies," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc143916. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Publication Officer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ipjrces.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.