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Termos de Troca, Ganhos de Comércio e Crescimento da Renda Interna Bruta Real no Brasil de 1948 a 2014

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  • Estêvão Kopschitz Xavier Bastos
  • Pedro Américo de Almeida Ferreira

Abstract

Neste trabalho, calcula-se para o Brasil o agregado macroeconômico renda interna bruta real (RIBR) e os ganhos de comércio advindos de mudanças nos termos de troca, de 1948 a 2014. A RIBR equivale à soma do produto interno bruto real (PIBR) com os ganhos de comércio, incluindo, assim, efeitos das variações nos termos de troca que não são capturados pelo PIB. Este cálculo é recomendado pelas convenções internacionais, mas não é realizado no Brasil desde 1990, só existindo dados oficiais para o período 1970-1989. A diferença entre esses dois conceitos é relevante para a análise das fases em que há significativas mudanças nos termos de troca. In this paper, we calculate for Brazil the macroeconomic aggregate called Real Gross Domestic Income (RGDI) and trading gains resulting from terms of trade changes, from 1948 to 2014. RGDI equals Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) plus trading gains, thus incorporating terms of trade change effects that are not captured by GDP. The international conventions highly recommend that RGDI be an integral part of the System of national Accounts, but it is not calculated in Brazil since 1990 (there are official data for the period 1970-1989). The difference between this two concepts is relevant for the analysis of periods in which there are significant variations in terms of trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Estêvão Kopschitz Xavier Bastos & Pedro Américo de Almeida Ferreira, 2016. "Termos de Troca, Ganhos de Comércio e Crescimento da Renda Interna Bruta Real no Brasil de 1948 a 2014," Discussion Papers 22123, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:2213
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