IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/
MyIDEAS: Log in (now much improved!) to save this paper

O Papel dos Fundamentos Domésticos na Vulnerabilidade Econômica dos Emergentes

Listed author(s):
  • Ajax Moreira
  • Katia Rocha
  • Roberto Siqueira

O objetivo deste estudo consiste em respaldar políticas com potencial de reduzir a vulnerabilidade econômica de um grupo de 23 países emergentes no período de 1998 a 2007, amostra que corresponde a mais de 96% da capitalização de mercado do índice Emerging Markets Bond Index Global (EMBIG), do banco de investimentos JPMorgan, em dezembro de 2007. Através de um modelo de painel de spreads soberanos e a partir da constatação de que o impacto de um choque global de risco é país-específico, o estudo foca no papel dos fundamentos domésticos como multiplicadores dos choques externos. Os resultados apóiam políticas voltadas a uma maior liberalização financeira, gerenciamento da dívida pública com diminuição da dívida bruta e do estoque indexado à moeda estrangeira, sustentabilidade da política fiscal, desenvolvimento do mercado financeiro doméstico, crescimento econômico consistente, além de melhorias nos indicadores de governança, em especial quanto ao risco jurisdicional e à qualidade da regulação. This study aims to evaluate policies that can potentially improve the economic vulnerability of a group of emerging market countries that comprises 23 countries in the period 1998-2007, coping up to 96% of the JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global as of December 2007. Through a panel data model on sovereign spreads and based on the reasoning that the impact of a global risk aversion shock is country–specific, this study focuses on the role of the macroeconomic fundamentals as multipliers of external shocks. The results support policies towards financial liberalization, public debt management, fiscal policy sustainability, consistent economic growth, development of the domestic financial market, and improvements in governance indicators especially the rules of law and regulatory quality.

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://www.ipea.gov.br/portal/images/stories/PDFs/TDs/td_1358.pdf
Download Restriction: no

Paper provided by Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA in its series Discussion Papers with number 1358.

as
in new window

Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2008
Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1358
Contact details of provider: Postal:
SBS - Quadra 01 - Bloco J - Ed. BNDES, Brasília, DF - 70076-90

Phone: +55(061)315-5000
Fax: +55(61)321-1597
Web page: http://www.ipea.gov.br
Email:


More information through EDIRC

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1358. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Fabio Schiavinatto)

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.