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Impacto de Reformas Paramétricas na Previdência Social Brasileira: Simulações Alternativas

Author

Listed:
  • Fabio Giambiagi
  • Hélio Zylberstajn
  • Luís Eduardo Afonso
  • André Portela Souza
  • Eduardo Zylberstajn

Abstract

This paper simulates the effects of parametric reforms in the pension system, and the main results are: a) the present value of the implicit debt is equivalent to 1,9 GDPs of the year 2005; b) interruption of real increases in the value of minimum pension benefit from 2011 on would reduce the implicit debt; c) parametric measures could reduce the actuarial debt to about 40% to 60% of its present levels; d) measures of greater impact would be the establishment of a minimum required age of 65 for the new workers, as well as the gradual increase for 64 years, for the current workers; e) increasing the required age for Loas and reducing the value of it to 75% of the basic benefit for future concessions would have important fiscal impacts.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabio Giambiagi & Hélio Zylberstajn & Luís Eduardo Afonso & André Portela Souza & Eduardo Zylberstajn, 2007. "Impacto de Reformas Paramétricas na Previdência Social Brasileira: Simulações Alternativas," Discussion Papers 1289, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1289
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    Cited by:

    1. Bernardo Lanza Queiroz & Moema Gonçalves Bueno Figoli, 2011. "Population aging and the rising costs of public pension in Brazil," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td438, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    2. de Freitas, Carlos Eduardo & Paes, Nelson Leitão, 2019. "The collapse of Brazilian Social Security: Macroeconomic impacts of the increase of the minimum age of PEC nº 287/2016 reform," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 39(1), July.

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