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Testing Brazilians` Imports and Exports Co-Integration With Monthly Data For 1996-2005

  • Gilberto Hollauer
  • Marco Aurélio Alves de Mendonça
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    The goal of this paper is to test the Husted model and to inspect the long-runsustainability of Brazilian current account in a very specific period of time (1996-2005) by the use of monthly data. We have tested the inter-temporal budgetconstraints (IBC) condition via unit root test with structural break and co-integrationthrough Gregory-Hansen test in a 117 long nominal, GDP normalized and CPInormalized series for the Brazilian economy. The results indicated that the pure IBCcondition does not hold for the Brazilian economy. However, there is co-integrationamong the series used in this work and the balance of accounts is sustainable.

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    Paper provided by Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA in its series Discussion Papers with number 1154.

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    Length: 17 pages
    Date of creation: Jan 2006
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1154
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