Business Cycle and Political Election Outcomes: New Evidence from The Chilean Democracy
This paper explores the influence of economic variables in Chilean presidential elections. We use a panel where the dependent variable corresponds to the share of the vote obtained by the incumbent at a municipal level in the presidential elections of 1989, 1993 and 1999. We focus on the unemployment rate and the output-gap and find that both have a significant influence on the vote. The estimations also indicate that variables such as the crime rate, the poverty rate and the political coalition of the mayor in each municipality have an influence on the vote.
|Date of creation:||2005|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Avda. Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago|
Phone: (562) 354-4303
Fax: (562) 553-1664
Web page: http://www.economia.uc.cl
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ioe:doctra:295. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jaime Casassus)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.