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Regionally Heterogeneous Housing Cycles and Stabilization Policies

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  • Hyunduk Suh

    (Inha University)

Abstract

Housing cycles can vary significantly across regions. This study investigates the macroeconomic implications of regionally heterogeneous housing cycles and stabilization policies. The general equilibrium model includes two separate regions, idiosyncratic shocks in regional housing markets, and inter-regional housing investments by households. Counterfactual simulations suggest that regional housing cycles can be a source of economic inequality between regions and the level of financial status by affecting consumption, housing service, debt and welfare asymmetrically across agents. Region-specific stabilization policies such as property tax, countercyclical loan-to-value, and housing supply policies can mitigate regional housing cycles, but it takes large policy responses if the cycle is caused by housing exuberance (demand) shocks. Those policies also have asymmetric welfare effects, while housing supply policy is the most beneficial to agents in the region that experiences the cycle. Leaning against the wind monetary policy is relatively ineffective in stabilizing regional housing prices and higher interest rates during housing price appreciations lower the welfare of borrowers in all regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hyunduk Suh, 2021. "Regionally Heterogeneous Housing Cycles and Stabilization Policies," Inha University IBER Working Paper Series 2021-4, Inha University, Institute of Business and Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:inh:wpaper:2021-4
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regionally heterogeneous housing cycles; monetary policy; macroprudential policy; housing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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