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Low-frequency determinants of inflation in the euro area

Author

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  • Sven Schreiber

    () (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK) at Hans Boeckler Foundation, Duesseldorf)

Abstract

We use frequency-wise Granger-causality tests and error-correction models to investigate the driving forces behind longer-run inflation developments in the euro area. Employing an eclectic approach we consider various relevant theories. With a general-to-specific testing strategy we distill the unemployment rate and long-term interest rates as causal for low-frequency variations of inflation. Money growth is found to be causal for inflation only if other variables are omitted, which we therefore interpret as a spurious result.

Suggested Citation

  • Sven Schreiber, 2009. "Low-frequency determinants of inflation in the euro area," IMK Working Paper 6-2009, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:imk:wpaper:6-2009
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    File URL: http://www.boeckler.de/pdf/p_imk_wp_6_2009.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Wei Yanfeng, 2013. "The Dynamic Relationships between Oil Prices and the Japanese Economy: A Frequency Domain Analysis," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 3, pages 57-67, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    money growth; Granger causality; quantity theory;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General

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