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Geoeconomic Fragmentation and the Future of Multilateralism

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Shekhar Aiyar
  • Mr. Jiaqian Chen
  • Mr. Christian H Ebeke
  • Mr. Roberto Garcia-Saltos
  • Tryggvi Gudmundsson
  • Ms. Anna Ilyina
  • Mr. Alvar Kangur
  • Tansaya Kunaratskul
  • Mr. Sergio L. Rodriguez
  • Michele Ruta
  • Tatjana Schulze
  • Gabriel Soderberg
  • Mr. Juan P Trevino

Abstract

After several decades of increasing global economic integration, the world is facing the risk of policy-driven geoeconomic fragmentation (GEF). This note explores the ramifications. It identifies multiple channels through which the benefits of globalization were earlier transmitted, and along which, conversely, the costs of GEF are likely to fall, including trade, migration, capital flows, technology diffusion and the provision of global public goods. It explores the consequences of GEF for the international monetary system and the global financial safety net. Finally, it suggests a pragmatic path forward for preserving the benefits of global integration and multilateralism

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Shekhar Aiyar & Mr. Jiaqian Chen & Mr. Christian H Ebeke & Mr. Roberto Garcia-Saltos & Tryggvi Gudmundsson & Ms. Anna Ilyina & Mr. Alvar Kangur & Tansaya Kunaratskul & Mr. Sergio L. Rodriguez & Mi, 2023. "Geoeconomic Fragmentation and the Future of Multilateralism," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2023/001, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfsdn:2023/001
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