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Peru: Selected Issues

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

This Selected Issues paper presents a comparative analysis of the macroeconomic adjustment in Chile, Colombia, and Peru to commodity terms-of-trade shocks. The study is done in two steps: (1) an analysis of the impulse responses of key macroeconomic variables to terms-of-trade shocks and (2) an event study of the adjustment to the recent decline in commodity prices. The experiences of these countries highlight the importance of flexible exchange rates to help with the adjustment to lower commodity prices, and staying vigilant in addressing depreciation pressures on inflation through tightening monetary policies. On the fiscal front, evidence shows that greater fiscal space, like that of Chile and Peru, gives more room for accommodating terms-of-trade shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Peru: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/235, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfscr:2016/235
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    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=44097
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    Cited by:

    1. Jean-Marc Montaud & Jorge Dávalos & Nicolas Pécastaing, 2020. "Potential effects of scaling-up infrastructure in Peru: a general equilibrium model-based analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(27), pages 2895-2912, May.
    2. Jorge Davalos & Jean-Marc Montaud & Nicolas Pecastaing, 2019. "Potential effect of Scaling-up Iinfrastructure in Peru: a general equilibrium model-bases analysis," Working Papers hal-02937833, HAL.

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