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Buyer Market Power and Exchange Rate Pass-through

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  • Juarez, Leticia

Abstract

I derive a model-based equation relating pass-through to buyer size and estimate it on the micro transaction level data for Colombia. I find that after an exchange rate shock, sellers connected to larger buyers face more moderate changes in their prices in the seller currency (i.e., lower exchange rate pass-through) than those connected to small buyers. Pass-through ranges from 1% for firms connected with the largest buyers and up to 17% for firms connected with the smallest buyers. I use the estimates from the empirical analysis to calibrate the model and propose a counterfactual where buyer market power is eliminated. Under this scenario, sellers' revenues increase; however, the price in seller currency is more responsive to exchange rate shocks. I study the impact of buyer market power on international price responses to exchange rate changes. In markets with high buyer concentration, larger foreign buyers secure marked-down prices that adjust flexibly to exchange rate shocks. Using a novel dataset of Colombian export transactions, I estimate an open economy oligopsony model with endogenous markdowns, revealing that sellers connected to larger buyers experience milder price changes (1% impact) compared to those connected with smaller buyers (15% impact). These findings highlight a trade-off: while larger buyers reduce seller revenues, they also reduce sellers' exposure to exchange rate volatility, emphasizing the strategic importance of buyer relationships in international markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Juarez, Leticia, 2025. "Buyer Market Power and Exchange Rate Pass-through," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 14128, Inter-American Development Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:idb:brikps:14128
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0013557
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    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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