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Why is One Choice Different?

Author

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  • David Assaf
  • Ester Samuel-Cahn

Abstract

Let X_i be nonnegative independent random variables with finite expectations and X^*_n = max {X_1, ..., X_n}. The value EX^*_n is what can be obtained by a ``prophet". A ``mortal" on the other hand, may use k >= 1 stopping rules t_1, ..., t_k yielding a return E[max_{i=1, ..., k} X_{t_i}]. For n >= k the optimal return is V^n_k(X_1, ..., X_n) = sup E[max_{i=1, ..., k} X_t_i}] where the supremum is over all stopping rules which stop by time n. The well known ``prophet inequality" states that for all such X_i's and one choice EX^*_n

Suggested Citation

  • David Assaf & Ester Samuel-Cahn, 2003. "Why is One Choice Different?," Discussion Paper Series dp335, The Federmann Center for the Study of Rationality, the Hebrew University, Jerusalem.
  • Handle: RePEc:huj:dispap:dp335
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