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Redistribution, Distortions, and the Welfare Effects of Social Security

Author

Listed:
  • Youngsoo Jang

    (University of Queensland)

  • Svetlana Pashchenko

    (University of Georgia)

  • Ponpoje Porapakkarm

    (National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies)

Abstract

What is the best way to reform Social Security? Academic literature offers diverging advice. There is a well-known result that the optimal size of Social Security is zero, implying it is best to phase the program out. Other studies argue that much can be gained by redesigning the program, given its current size. We provide a unified analysis that examines how the optimal size of Social Security depends on the key features of its design. We first develop a theoretical decomposition tracing the program's welfare effects to (i) income redistribution, (ii) distortions on the annuitization level, and (iii) intertemporal distortions. We then quantitatively assess the role of these channels. We show that the zero-optimal-size result arises because Social Security is too distortive and not redistributive enough. Once these design flaws are corrected, it is even optimal to increase the size of the program.

Suggested Citation

  • Youngsoo Jang & Svetlana Pashchenko & Ponpoje Porapakkarm, 2026. "Redistribution, Distortions, and the Welfare Effects of Social Security," Working Papers 2025-012, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
  • Handle: RePEc:hka:wpaper:2025-012
    Note: M
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    File URL: http://humcap.uchicago.edu/RePEc/hka/wpaper/Jang_Pashchenko_Porapakkarm_2025_resdistr_distor_welfare-eff_SS.pdf
    File Function: First version, October 13, 2025
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D15 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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