IDEAS home Printed from
MyIDEAS: Log in (now much improved!) to save this paper

活断層リスクの社会的認知と活断層帯周辺の地価形成の関係について : 上町断層帯のケース

Listed author(s):
  • 顧, 濤
  • 中川, 雅之
  • 齊藤, 誠
  • 山鹿, 久木
Registered author(s):

    本稿は、大阪府の東部を南北に走る上町断層帯周辺の地価形成に関する実証分析を通じて、活断層リスクがどの程度認知されてきたのかを検証している。上町断層帯の両側2km 圏内において断層近接地ほど地価が有意に低下する傾向は、1995 年1 月に起きた兵庫県南部地震以降に顕著となった。一方、兵庫県南部地震で地震エネルギーが解放された六甲・淡路島断層帯の周辺地価は、兵庫県南部地震の甚大な被害で相対的に低下したものの、災害復旧が進んだ2000 年代半ばまでに従来の水準まで回復した。上町断層帯は、1970年代よりその存在が知られていたが、その危険性が社会的、政策的に認知されたのは兵庫県南部で都市直下型地震が起きてからである。本稿の実証結果は、兵庫県南部地震の勃発で上町活断層帯に対する認識が一変し、経済取引において上町断層帯にかかわる危険性が土地価格に強く反映されるようになったことを示している。, In this paper, we explore how social recognition toward active fault risks is reflected in asset pricing using the officially appraised prices of the land that is situated in the neighborhood of the Uemachi active fault line, lying along a north-south axis in the eastern part of Osaka prefecture. The presence of the Uemachi active fault line has been well recognized among scientific researchers since the 1970s. However, these active fault risks have been registered significantly in land pricing, only since ordinary citizens and even policymakers first realized considerable earthquake risks involved in the land along active fault lines by observing that in January 1995, the earthquake driven by the Rokko-Awaji active fault line had catastrophic damages on the southern part of Hyogo prefecture, which is adjoining at the west of Osaka prefecture.

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    Paper provided by Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University in its series Discussion Papers with number 2010-14.

    in new window

    Length: 32p
    Date of creation: Oct 2010
    Handle: RePEc:hit:econdp:2010-14
    Note: Social recognition towards active fault risks and its impact on land pricing : A case of the Uemachi active fault line in Japan
    Contact details of provider: Phone: +81-42-580-8000
    Web page:

    More information through EDIRC

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hit:econdp:2010-14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Digital Resources Section, Hitotsubashi University Library)

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.