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Measuring effects of second wave activation: A theoretical model and tutorial for activation programme evaluation

Author

Listed:
  • Ulmestig, Rickard

    (Department of Social Work, Linnaeus University)

  • Waernbaum, Ingeborg

    (Department of Statistics, Uppsala University, IFAU.)

Abstract

This article develops a theoretical model for evaluating mandatory activation of welfare recipients in complex activation programmes. The model aims to summarize and describe heterogeneous content that is difficult to comprehend because of local variations, staff characteristics, or other reasons that can blur the descriptions of the programme. Furthermore, the content can be difficult to describe due to a weak correspondence between the official rhetoric concerning a programme and what researchers discover when observing it. We use a two-dimensional variable in our study that is intended to identify essential characteristics for capturing generic components of activation programmes. We use experience from an on-site interview study and on-site observations about 18 programmes to demonstrate how the proposed model can be used to evaluate the effect of the programmes. We evaluate the effects of programme participation on income in this study while adjusting for pre-treatment confounding variables, to test the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Ulmestig, Rickard & Waernbaum, Ingeborg, 2023. "Measuring effects of second wave activation: A theoretical model and tutorial for activation programme evaluation," Working Paper Series 2023:20, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:ifauwp:2023_020
    DOI: https://www.ifau.se/en/Research/Publications/Working-papers/2023/measuring-effects-of-second-wave-activation-a-theoretical-model-and-tutorial-for-activation-programme-evaluation/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Activation; Active labour market policy; Causal inference; Programme evaluation; Unemployment; Work-first approach;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • Z18 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Public Policy

    Statistics

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