Analysing CPI inflation by the fractionally integrated ARFIMA-STVGARCH model
The aim of this paper is to study the dynamic evolution of inflation rate. The model is constructed by extending the ARFIMA-GARCH to ARFIMA with a time varying GARCH model where the transition from one regime to another is evolving smoothly over time. We show by Monte Carlo experiments that the constancy parameter tests perform well. We apply then this new model on eight countries from Europe, Japan and Canada and find that this model is appropriate for six among these countries.
|Date of creation:||20 Oct 2008|
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|Note:||View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00331986/en/|
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