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Public Persuasion with Endogenous Fact-Checking

Author

Listed:
  • Georgy Lukyanov

    (TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Samuel Safaryan

    (MAI - National research university, HSE - Higher School of Economics [Perm] - MAI - National research university)

Abstract

We study public persuasion when a sender communicates with a large audience that can fact-check at heterogeneous costs. The sender commits to a public information policy before the state is realized, but any verifiable claim she makes after observing the state must be truthful (an ex-post implementability constraint). Receivers observe the public message and then decide whether to verify; this selective verification feeds back into the sender's objective and turns the design problem into a constrained version of Bayesian persuasion. Our main result is a reverse comparative static: when factchecking becomes cheaper in the population, the sender optimally supplies a strictly less informative public signal. Intuitively, cheaper verification makes bold claims invite scrutiny, so the sender coarsens information to dampen the incentive to verify. We also endogenize two ex-post instruments—continuous falsification and fixed-cost repression—and characterize threshold substitutions from persuasion to manipulation and, ultimately, to repression as monitoring improves. The framework provides testable predictions for how transparency, manipulation, and repression co-move with changes in verification technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgy Lukyanov & Samuel Safaryan, 2026. "Public Persuasion with Endogenous Fact-Checking," Working Papers hal-05512181, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-05512181
    DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2508.19682
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05512181v1
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