Impact of the war in Ukraine on the Moroccan economy from a gender perspective

This study examines the effects of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on the Moroccan economy, with particular emphasis on gender-differentiated outcomes. A computable general equilibrium model (CGEM) incorporating a gender-sensitive framework is employed to assess these impacts. Two series of simulations are conducted. The first comprises four independent scenarios, each isolating the change in the global price of a specific commodity. The second corresponds to an aggregated scenario capturing the overall economic shock associated with the war in Ukraine. The results indicate that the conflict-induced shocks generated adverse macroeconomic effects, including contractions in real GDP, household consumption, real investment, and national savings, alongside a decline in foreign trade flows. Moreover, labor market conditions deteriorated, with a notable reduction in employment, disproportionately affecting Moroccan women. These findings align with existing literature showing that the conflict has generated negative repercussions for economies and labor markets, particularly for women.