IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/wpaper/hal-02877433.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Reference chronology of Business cycles for the UEMOA economies

Author

Listed:
  • Gohou Danon

    (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - AgroParisTech - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

The importance of business cycle analysis justifies the existence of several business cycle dating organizations for industrialized countries. Currently there is no specific reference chronology for the purposes of diagnosis of the cyclical behavior of the economy the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). We use the classical NBER and a mixed multi-change point approaches to describe the repetitive sequences that underlie business cycles with reference to the economy of Cote d'Ivoire. The reference chronology for business cycle is determined on the basis of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a population of coincident indicators, which tracks fluctuations in the ivorian economic activity. We succefully anticipate business cycle upturns and downturns of the leading economy in the region. Moreover, we add a reference chronology of the business cycle for the economy of Cote d'Ivoire that can be used monitor the WAEMU economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Gohou Danon, 2020. "Reference chronology of Business cycles for the UEMOA economies," Working Papers hal-02877433, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-02877433
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02877433v2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-02877433v2/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mixture Multiple-Point Change Model; WAEMU economies; Bry-Boschan algorithm; Business cycles;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-02877433. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.