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Credibility Premium Estimation of Insurance Claims in Nigeria

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  • Queensley C Chukwudum

    (PAUSTI - Pan African University Institute of Basic Sciences, Technology and Innovation)

Abstract

In this paper one of the foundational theories in actuarial science-the Empirical Bayes credibility theory model 1 (Buhlmann model), is applied to estimate the pure risk premium based on the aggregate net claim data of 5 years (2009-2013). This involves estimating the credibility premium in the next year (2014). Five different classes of risk are considered from the insurance industry in Nigeria-fire, accident, motor, marine and, oil and gas insurance portfolios. Verification of the unbiasedness of the structural parameters of the credibility factor is presented. A chi-square goodness of fit test is carried out to compare the estimated values with the actual claim data. The result shows that there is no significant difference between the estimated values and the actual values for the year 2014.

Suggested Citation

  • Queensley C Chukwudum, 2018. "Credibility Premium Estimation of Insurance Claims in Nigeria," Working Papers hal-01855972, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01855972
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01855972
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dickson, David C.M., 2013. "Risk Modelling in General Insurance, Roger J. Gray, Susan M. Pitts, Cambridge University Press, 2012, 393 pp. (hardback). ISBN: 9780521863940," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 345-346, September.
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