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Perspectives de l'économie française à l'horizon 2013

Author

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  • Mathieu Plane

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Eric Heyer

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

Abstract

Deux scénarios pour l'économie française ont été envisagés à l'horizon 2013. Le premier est bâti sur les hypothèses retenues dans la programmation pluriannuelle des finances publiques. Plus précisément, cette programmation s'appuie, pour le court terme (2008-2009), sur les prévisions de croissance présentées en octobre 2008 lors du Projet de loi de Finance, et pour le moyen terme (2010-2013) sur une hypothèse de croissance de 2,5 % et d'un retour à l'équilibre des finances publiques. Le second illustre un scénario de crise plus profond et durable que celui présenté dans le PPFP. Dans un tel contexte, la politique budgétaire est plus active de façon à éviter un ralentissement encore plus marqué de l'activité, sans toutefois renoncer à l'assainissement des finances publiques.

Suggested Citation

  • Mathieu Plane & Eric Heyer, 2008. "Perspectives de l'économie française à l'horizon 2013," Working Papers hal-00973019, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00973019 Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00973019
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