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Monetary-Fiscal Interactions in the United States

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  • Paul Bouscasse

    (ECON - Département d'économie (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CEPR - Center for Economic Policy Research)

  • Seungki Hong

    (Purdue University [West Lafayette])

Abstract

How does the fiscal side of the US government respond to monetary policy, and does it matter? We estimate the response of fiscal variables to monetary shocks and the counterfactual response of macroeconomic aggregates under different fiscal rules.Following an interest rate hike, the fiscal authority does not react: spending and transfers remain unchanged, tax receipts fall along with output, and interest payments and debt increase. Monetary policy would be more contractionary if fiscal policy were to stabilize debt through spending or taxes, but less contractionary if it used transfers. Indeed, transfer hikes reduce real debt by raising inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Bouscasse & Seungki Hong, 2026. "Monetary-Fiscal Interactions in the United States," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-05483189, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-05483189
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-05483189v1
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