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Two-Way Models for Gravity

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  • Koen Jochmans

    (ECON - Département d'économie (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Empirical models for dyadic interactions between n agents often feature agent-specific parameters. Fixed-effect estimators of such models generally have bias of order n−1, which is non-negligible relative to their standard error. Therefore, confidence sets based on the asymptotic distribution have incorrect coverage. This paper looks at models with multiplicative unobservables and fixed effects. We derive moment conditions that are free of fixed effects and use them to set up estimators that are n-consistent, asymptotically normally-distributed, and asymptotically unbiased. We provide Monte Carlo evidence for a range of models. We estimate a gravity equation as an empirical illustration.

Suggested Citation

  • Koen Jochmans, 2017. "Two-Way Models for Gravity," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03567923, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03567923
    DOI: 10.1162/REST_a_00620
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    Cited by:

    1. Luis E. Candelaria, 2020. "A Semiparametric Network Formation Model with Unobserved Linear Heterogeneity," Papers 2007.05403, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    2. Hugo Rojas-Romagosa & Johannes Bollen, 2018. "Estimating migration changes from the EU’s free movement of people principle," CPB Discussion Paper 385.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    3. Candelaria, Luis E., 2020. "A Semiparametric Network Formation Model with Unobserved Linear Heterogeneity," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1279, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    4. Martin,William J., 2020. "Making Gravity Great Again," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9391, The World Bank.
    5. Jules Hugot & Camilo Umana Dajud, 2016. "Trade costs and the Suez and Panama Canals," Working Papers 2016-29, CEPII research center.
    6. Chen, Mingli & Fernández-Val, Iván & Weidner, Martin, 2021. "Nonlinear factor models for network and panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 296-324.
    7. Jochmans, Koen, 2022. "Bias in instrumental-variable estimators of fixed-effect models for count data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    8. Giorgio Fagiolo & Tommaso Rughi, 2023. "Exploring the Macroeconomic Drivers of International Bilateral Remittance Flows: A Gravity-Model Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-27, July.
    9. Douadia Bougherara & Laurent Piet, 2018. "On the role of probability weighting on WTP for crop insurance with and without yield skewness," Working Papers hal-02790605, HAL.
    10. Koen Jochmans & Vincenzo Verardi, 2022. "Instrumental‐variable estimation of exponential‐regression models with two‐way fixed effects with an application to gravity equations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1121-1137, September.
    11. Pfaffermayr, Michael, 2021. "Confidence intervals for the trade cost parameters of cross-section gravity models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    12. Weidner, Martin & Zylkin, Thomas, 2021. "Bias and consistency in three-way gravity models," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    13. Mario Larch & Yoto V. Yotov, 2024. "Estimating the effects of trade agreements: Lessons from 60 years of methods and data," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(5), pages 1771-1799, May.
    14. Lockwood, Ben & Porcelli, Francesco & Redoano, Michela & Schiavone, Antonio, 2022. "Yardstick Competition in the Digital Age : Unveiling New Networks in Tax Competition," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1438, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    15. J. M. C. Santos Silva & Silvana Tenreyro, 2022. "The Log of Gravity at 15," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(3), pages 423-437, September.
    16. Juodis, Artūras & Sarafidis, Vasilis, 2022. "An incidental parameters free inference approach for panels with common shocks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(1), pages 19-54.
    17. Choi Nakgyoon, 2018. "Economic Effects of Anti-Dumping Duties: Protectionist Measures or Trade Remedies?," Working Papers id:12447, eSocialSciences.
    18. Jochmans, K. & Verardi, V., 2019. "twexp and twgravity: Estimating exponential regression models with two-way fixed effects," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1945, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    19. Camilo Umana Dajud, 2016. "Do Visas Hinder International Trade in Goods?," Working Papers 2016-30, CEPII research center.
    20. Pfaffermayr, Michael, 2020. "Constrained Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood estimation of structural gravity models," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 188-198.
    21. Jochmans, K. & Verardi, V., 2019. "Instrumental-Variable Estimation of Gravity Equations," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1994, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    22. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro & Zhuang, Xiting, 2022. "Global Shipping Container Disruptions and U.S. Agricultural Exports," Working Papers 320397, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    23. Ohyun Kwon & Jangsu Yoon & Yoto V. Yotov, 2022. "A Generalized Poisson-Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimator," CESifo Working Paper Series 10145, CESifo.
    24. Hugo Rojas-Romagosa & Johannes Bollen, 2018. "Estimating migration changes from the EU’s free movement of people principle," CPB Discussion Paper 385, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    25. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro & Zhuang, Xiting, 2022. "Global Container Trade Disruptions and U.S. Agricultural Exports," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322364, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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