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Partie I. Croissance sous tensions. 4. Cycle de productivité et emploi : retour sur les ajustements depuis la crise

Author

Listed:
  • Eric Heyer

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Xavier Timbeau

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

Notre analyse de l'emploi marchand pour la France, l'Allemagne, l'Italie, l'Espagne, le Royaume-Uni et les États-Unis repose sur celle du cycle de productivité. De fait, les évolutions de l'emploi dépendent principalement de celle de l'activité économique, de l'évolution du coût du travail et de sa durée. À court terme toutefois, l'emploi peut augmenter plus (ou moins) vite relativement à l'activité économique selon que l'économie se situe en haut (en bas) du cycle de productivité, ce qui nécessite d'établir un diagnostic sur la productivité tendancielle et la position dans le cycle. [Premier paragraphe]

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Heyer & Xavier Timbeau, 2018. "Partie I. Croissance sous tensions. 4. Cycle de productivité et emploi : retour sur les ajustements depuis la crise," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03471521, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03471521
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.159.0015
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03471521
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